2024 Presidential Election: Predictions and Forecasts

Trump's Edge in the Race

With the suspense building towards the 2024 presidential election, our latest analysis reveals that Donald Trump holds a significant advantage. Our data shows that Trump currently enjoys a 56% probability of emerging victorious, while his challenger's chances stand at 44%.

Interactive Map for Election Forecasting

To assist you in visualising the race, we have created an interactive map. By clicking on different states, you can generate your own election forecast. The vibrant gradients on the map depict the likelihood of Biden or Trump emerging as the victor, with the intensity of the color reflecting the market's confidence in their chances.

Up-to-Date Poll Analysis

Our predictive model continuously evaluates presidential polls, taking into account recency, sample size, methodology, and house effects. This comprehensive analysis enables us to provide an accurate representation of the race as it unfolds.

Stay Updated with Our Tracking

The Economist will continue to monitor the contest and update our predictions as new information emerges. Visit our website for ongoing updates and insights into the 2024 presidential election.